According to PolyBeats Monitor, a new prediction market has been launched on the Polymarket platform regarding the "Bank of Japan June Interest Rate Decision." Currently, there is no available probability.
At the just-concluded monetary policy meeting on March 19, the Bank of Japan decided by a vote of 8 to 1 to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.75%. This is the second consecutive meeting where the Bank of Japan has hit the pause button after raising interest rates at the end of last year. The Bank of Japan stated in its announcement that the Japanese economy is experiencing a moderate recovery, but the recent escalation of the Middle East situation and a significant rise in oil prices have brought higher uncertainty to the economic outlook.
Due to lingering core inflation pressures (with one member proposing a rate hike to 1.0% at the March meeting), some financial institutions, including U.S. banks, and macro analysts still anticipate that the Bank of Japan may resume its rate hike path in June after evaluating wage and price data.
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