header-langage
简体中文
繁體中文
English
Tiếng Việt
한국어
日本語
ภาษาไทย
Türkçe
Scan to Download the APP

2 Smart Money addresses wager $9700, predicting "The US will not invade Iran this year."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, there are two high-win-rate addressses that have collectively invested $9,700 in the political event "Will the US Military invade Iran this year," buying "No," with the current probability of "No" being 40%.

The determination of the "invasion" event is different from "attack" or "US military intervention." The event of the US invading Iran meets the criteria when the US launches a military offensive aimed at controlling any part of Iran's territory.

During a meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga at the White House today, Trump was asked on the spot by reporters whether he would deploy US ground troops to Iran. Trump stated, "I'm not going to put troops in any place," and emphasized a continued threat of remote retaliation against Iran for its actions in Qatar.

Defense Secretary Mark Esper reiterated the US military's goals during a Pentagon press conference: to destroy Iran's missile launch capability, target its defense industry and navy, and prevent it from obtaining nuclear weapons. He specifically refuted claims from some quarters that the US is sliding into an "endless war" or a "quagmire."

Note: Based on their historical trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after opening a position.

Accounts:
0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71
0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8

Total Investment: $9.7k
---------------------------------
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN to see the future earlier via @PolyBeats_Bot

举报 Correction/Report
Correction/Report
Submit
Add Library
Visible to myself only
Public
Save
Choose Library
Add Library
Cancel
Finish