According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, an address with 86% accuracy in the politics category has invested $6600 in "Will Trump visit China before July" buying "Yes," and currently the probability of this event being "Yes" is 79%.
Since Trump publicly requested to postpone the trip "five to six weeks," he also emphasized that the U.S. and China have a good working relationship, and China has "no opinion" on the decision to postpone the trip.
From a geopolitical perspective, the U.S. faces political needs for the mid-term elections in November, and Trump needs to achieve results in areas such as trade with China and agricultural exports.
Note: Based on their past trading behavior, the trader is not betting on whether the event will actually occur but may engage in profit-taking and stop-loss actions after opening a position at a certain point in time.
Account:
0xf92a950992181e21874dd1b36c7e5666c443a517.
