「Fed Oracle」: Powell's Penultimate FOMC to Highlight Deepening Fed Rifts

BlockBeats News, March 18th, in a post by the "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos, it was stated that the uncertainty brought about by the Iran war is expected to further solidify the majority of Federal Reserve officials' consensus to stand pat at this week's meeting. Given Jerome Powell's upcoming departure as Fed chair, any dissenting views will be particularly noteworthy.

The article mentioned that internal divisions within the Fed are deepening. The previously nearly unanimous decisions are no longer the norm, with an increasing number of dissenting voices, especially among the governors appointed by President Trump. Over the past year, all three governors appointed by Trump have dissented from the majority view, with two even dissenting at the Fed's last meeting. This week, all three governors may vote against and support a rate cut.

Even if they ultimately do not agree, the possibility of this rift continuously appearing at meeting after meeting signifies a shift, the impact of which may transcend any single vote. The key is not the margin of the vote but the fact that all three governors were appointed by a president openly advocating for lower rates. Since 1988, there has not been a case where three governors openly dissented at a policy meeting.