2 smart money accounts wagered $23,800, predicting "Kevin Warsh will not be confirmed as Fed Chair."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, 2 smart money accounts have invested $23.8k in buying "No" on "Kevin Warsh to be confirmed as Fed Chair," currently at a 94% probability.

Based on the settlement rules of this market, the target nominee must receive formal confirmation from the U.S. Senate to settle as "Yes." If the nominee is forcibly installed through a recess appointment by the President without Senate confirmation, it does not meet the settlement criteria. Furthermore, if by December 31, 2026, no one has received Senate confirmation for the Chairmanship, the market will settle as "Other."

Recently, the U.S. Department of Justice initiated a criminal investigation against Powell, attempting to pressure his early resignation. However, Powell's side not only maintained a tough stance, explicitly stating that he will not resign during the investigation threat, and may even continue to serve as a Fed Governor until the end of his term in January 2028.

Currently, several key lawmakers have publicly stated that until the Department of Justice completely withdraws its lawsuit and investigation against Powell, they will steadfastly veto any new Fed personnel nominations in the Senate, and Trump's use of a recess appointment to forcefully install Warsh does not meet the settlement conditions.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not betting on whether the event actually occurs, and there is a possibility of taking profits or stop-loss at a certain point after opening a position.

Accounts:
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df

Total Investment: $23.8k
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