Account Registered Before Iran Conflict Profited Over $500,000, Bet $43,000 on "Iran Regime Change"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, one account has cumulatively wagered $43k on the fall of the Iranian regime. Among them, $23.2k was wagered on "Yes" for "Fall by April 30," with an entry price of 15.6¢ and a current price of 15.5¢.

This channel previously reported on February 26 that this address registered two days before the outbreak of the Iran conflict and placed a large bet on the U.S. launching a military strike against Iran. Two days later, the relevant strike event actually occurred, and this account eventually accumulated over $500k in profits through this series of conflict-related bets.

The U.S. Department of Defense confirmed on March 13 that it has ordered the deployment of the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit (approximately 2200-2500 personnel) and the USS Tripoli (LHA-7) amphibious assault ship to the Middle East. The unit was previously stationed in Okinawa, Japan, and is currently crossing the Pacific, expected to arrive in the waters near Iran in "over a week."

Department of Defense officials stated that the core objectives include enhancing the security of the U.S. embassy in the Middle East, conducting potential civilian evacuations, serving as a maritime deterrent force, and preparing for an amphibious assault and targeted elimination of Iranian maritime nodes threatening the Strait of Hormuz, rather than a full-scale land operation.

Account:
0x1caa6a7ad0c6916aef7b67946de2e57ad24846a0

Total Wagered: $43k
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