The 98th Academy Awards Ceremony is about to take place, with a summary of major award predictions.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, there are currently a total of 34 tradable events related to the 98th Academy Awards, covering different categories such as predictions on films, actors, and total wins for individual works. As the awards ceremony is set to be officially revealed tomorrow, the leading probabilities for major popular films are as follows:

“Once Again” tells the story of a former radical who, after years in seclusion, is forced to return to a world of conspiracy and confrontation when his family is pursued by an old foe. Currently, its win probabilities for each award are: Best Picture (79%), Best Editing (82%), Best Cinematography (76%). In addition, the film directed by Paul Thomas Anderson has a 92% probability of winning Best Director.

“The Sinners” tells the story of twin brothers returning to their hometown in the American South in the 1930s, attempting to start anew but inadvertently getting involved in a battle against supernatural evil forces such as vampires. Currently, its win probabilities for each award are: Best Original Screenplay (94.4%), Best Original Score (94%), Best Casting (80%). In this film, Michael B. Jordan playing dual roles currently has a 52% probability of winning Best Actor.

The animated musical film “KPop Demon Slayer Girl Group” tells the story of a popular K-pop girl group whose members, beyond their shining daily lives on stage, secretly transform into demon slayers to protect the world from evil forces. Currently, it has a 93% probability of winning Best Animated Feature, and its song “Golden” has an 85% probability of winning Best Original Song.

“The Science Monster” tells the story of an ambitious scientist who crosses the boundary between life and death to create new life but faces a series of tragedies and destruction as the “monster” he created turns against him. Currently, it has a 93% probability of winning Best Makeup and Hairstyling, and a 91% probability of winning Best Costume Design.

“Avatar 3,” set to be released on December 19, 2025, follows Jake Sully and his family as they face the threat of human colonizers on the planet Pandora and encounter a serious challenge from the new Na'vi tribe. Currently, it has a 92% probability of winning Best Visual Effects.

“F1” is a sports action drama film starring Brad Pitt, depicting a retired former Formula One racer returning to the track to mentor a young rookie in a struggling underdog team and lead the youngster to self-redemption. Currently, it has an 81% probability of winning Best Sound Editing.
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