Trump Market High Win Rate Address has put in $3,700, betting on "USA to escort a merchant ship through the Strait of Hormuz before April."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past day, an address with a high winning rate in Trump markets has entered $3700, betting on the new market "US to escort a merchant vessel through the Strait of Hormuz by April," with an average entry price of 31.3¢ and current price of 33.5¢.

The market rules state that by March 31st, the US official must have clearly announced a convoy operation, or authoritative media outlets must have unanimously reported that the US military has actually escorted a merchant vessel through the Strait of Hormuz, with escorting conducted by either naval vessels or designated accompanying/protecting air assets.

On the 12th, US Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that the US Navy would escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz "when military conditions permit," and said that this action may be carried out in conjunction with an international coalition. The premise of this action includes the US needing to first achieve sufficient air superiority and further weaken Iran's missile capabilities; Yellen also mentioned that there are still Iranian and some Chinese tankers passing through the strait, leading the US to believe that the strait has not been fully mined.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, it is believed that this trader is not betting on whether the event actually occurs, but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after entering the position.

Address:
0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98

Entry Position: $3.7k
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