According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past 24 hours, two high-win-rate addresses collectively deposited $15,000, betting on "No ceasefire between US and Iran before May," with an average entry price of 50.6¢ ~ 51.5¢ and a current price of 52.5¢.
Iran continues to escalate attacks on Gulf shipping and energy facilities, with two tankers carrying Iraqi fuel catching fire in Iraqi waters. Iraqi port officials stated that a preliminary investigation indicated the attack came from Iran in the form of explosive-laden dinghies. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains stalled, with analysts noting a lack of de-escalation signs and no clear end in sight to the oil flow interruption until safe passage through the strait is restored.
Note: Based on their historical trading behavior, it is inferred that this trader is not merely betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions at a certain point after opening a position.
Accounts:
0x2120ea0323fcf5446233056467fdb852b4b12647
0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95
Total Position: $15k
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