Geopolitics Board Quintuple Victory Address $10,000 Bet Iran Leadership Will Not Change Before May

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past seven hours, an geopolitical futures address has made five consecutive $10,000 bets on "Iranian leadership will not change before May," with an average entry price of 67.6¢, now trading at 66.5¢.

Per the settlement rules of this market, if Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer the de facto leader of Iran by the specified date, the market will settle as "Yes."

Reuters reported on the 11th that a U.S. intelligence assessment believes the Iranian government "does not face a collapse risk," despite the death of Qassem Soleimani in the strike, with Iran's power structure still intact.

Iran has simultaneously strengthened domestic control amid ongoing airstrikes. Iran's police chief warned that anyone responding to Trump's call to take to the streets would be considered "an enemy rather than a protester."

Note: Based on their trading history profile, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event, exhibiting behavior indicative of taking profits or losses at a certain point after opening a position.

Address:
0xbe482cd6e5183be8767f03b48ebc3ff35769683f.