Israel Block 78% Win Rate Address Bets $9,500 That Iranian Regime Will Not Collapse in June

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past 24 hours, an Israeli address with a 78% win rate has bet $9,500 on "The Iranian regime will not collapse in June," with an average entry price of 77¢ and a current price of 77.5¢.

Since the outbreak of the joint war on February 28, precise bombing by the US-Israeli military has led to the death of the 37-year ruling leader Ali Khamenei, along with several senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders and top military officials in the bombing.

The Iranian Experts Assembly recently officially announced the succession of the third-generation Supreme Leader to Khamenei's son, 56-year-old Mujtaba Khamenei. Prior to this, amid intense bombing of the leader's underground bunker, Israeli media widely circulated rumors of Mujtaba's death or severe injury. Although he has now been officially announced as the successor, he has not appeared in any public setting since the start of the war.

Mujtaba, as the perennial behind-the-scenes "Grand Steward," is deeply tied to the heavily armed Revolutionary Guard. Even in the face of extreme decapitation strikes, Iran's vast security apparatus and established power transition network continue to forcibly maintain system operation.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions at a certain point after entry.

Address: 0xf1899a30a2c016941bf4abd77b900ecacd768e47.