Two Whale Addresses Bet $13,400 on “US-Iran Ceasefire in June” Prediction

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the past 24 hours on the prediction market Polymarket, two high-win-rate addresses collectively placed a $13.4k bet on "US-Iran Ceasefire in June," with opening prices ranging from 68¢ to 72.3¢ and a current price of 70¢.

The Washington Post indicates that the objectives of the various parties in this war remain unclear. The most relevant point regarding a ceasefire is that Iran now seeks "to end the war" rather than accept a temporary ceasefire arrangement. Tehran is not satisfied with a short-term ceasefire and instead prefers the war to end on its own terms. With a significant disparity in the final goals of both sides, achieving an executable ceasefire in the short term will be significantly more challenging.

Trump stated that the conflict "will end very soon," but also threatened a "far more ferocious" response if Iran continues to try to disrupt oil shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Iran has expressed that the timing of the war's end should be decided by Iran, not the United States.

Accounts:
0x10e420926d84ddbb9042a573323d6a745d98b019
0xa9e64cc5fcda8edc389b1f979922566ff2b91dc2

Total Position: $13.4k
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