New Address Puts $11,800 Into Bet That “UK, France, Germany Will Not Strike Iran”

According to PolyBeats Monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past twelve hours, a new address bet $7.3k on "UK France Germany Will Not Strike Iran in June," with an opening price of 71¢ and a current price of 73¢, and bet $4.5k on "UK France Germany Will Not Strike Iran in March," with an opening price of 79¢ and a current price of 78.1¢.

France, the UK, and Germany stated in a joint declaration that if Iran continues to launch missile or drone attacks, European countries may take "necessary and proportionate defensive action," including targeting missile and drone launch capabilities. This implies that Europe has not ruled out limited military strikes, but is currently emphasizing defense and deterrence.

The UK Foreign Secretary stated that the UK was not involved in the initial US and Israeli airstrikes and emphasized that the government is pursuing a "calm and cautious" strategy. The UK government believes lessons should be learned from the Iraq War to avoid hasty involvement in a new Middle East conflict, while domestic polls in the UK show that only about 8% of the population supports direct engagement.

Address:
0x8a36cb30827e90fc51e28e2b6d044f7db017288f

Opening Position: $11.8k
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