According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, in the past day, an address with a 66% win rate bet $86.2k on "The Iranian regime will not collapse before June," with an average entry price of 65¢ and a current price of 68.5¢.
Reuters reported that following the assassination of the Supreme Leader, Iran swiftly completed the power transition, with Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Khamenei, succeeding as the Supreme Leader with the support of the Revolutionary Guard.
Analysts believe that this rapid institutional succession mechanism is designed to prevent regime upheaval, indicating that the Iranian system still possesses a strong self-sustaining capability. Furthermore, the Iranian opposition has long been fragmented, lacks unified leadership, organizational strength, and the ability to rapidly replace the existing state machinery nationwide.
Address:
0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
Entry Stake: $3k
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