According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the Polymarket prediction market, a new account has invested $50k to buy "ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini to drop from the top of the US App Store free chart before March 8", with an average entry price of 50¢ and a 45% probability.
Based on the settlement rules, if by 11:59 PM EST on March 8th, any of the ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini apps fall from the top spot of the overall US iOS App Store "free apps" chart, the market will settle as "Yes". If any of these four apps hold the top spot, it will settle as "No".
Over the past two weeks, the top position in the US App Store free chart has been dominated by these AI apps. Previously, ChatGPT held the top spot for a long time, but from late February to early March, Claude's downloads surged due to the controversy over OpenAI's military contract signing and subsequent user exodus, successfully replacing ChatGPT at the top of the US free chart. Currently, the top position continues to alternate among these top AI apps.
Account:
0xd44e1d167666040a39a8eb58b6676ab027463212
Total Investment: $50k
Get a glimpse of the future. Follow @PolyBeats_Bot
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN
