A Whale Account Doubles Down with a $64,200 Bet on a U.S.-Iran Ceasefire This Month

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past 24 hours, an account that previously successfully predicted the stabbing of Hamenei has bet on "The US and Iran will reach a ceasefire this month." As of now, this account has collectively invested $64.2k in this market, with an average position price of 51.1¢ and a current price of 32¢.

The US Secretary of Defense stated in today's Pentagon press briefing that the US military will have full control of Iranian airspace in the coming days and claimed that the Iranian regime is "on the brink of collapse." When asked about calls from China and Russia for an immediate ceasefire, Hagheses directly rejected them, stating they are "completely off the table," and mentioned that there is no clear timeline for military action until the goal of completely dismantling Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities is achieved.

While Iran has been trying to "pressure" the US back to the negotiation table and achieve a ceasefire by blocking the Strait of Hormuz and attacking energy facilities in the Persian Gulf, the US strategic objective has shifted towards "regime change." Therefore, Iran's current strategy has not been effective, and the conflict is instead showing signs of escalation.

Account: 0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b

Position: $64.2k
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