A high-win-rate account added $151,000 to the position that Iran will not block the Strait of Hormuz, with a total bet of $249,000.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, the political market reported yesterday achieved a five-time perfect prediction, successfully predicting the U.S. strike on Iran and the resignation of Khamenei, with the address continuing to add $151k to the bet "Iran will not block the Strait of Hormuz before March 31st," with a total bet of $249k. Currently, the probability of a blockade before March 31st is 62%.

A few hours ago, an advisor to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Commander stated, "The Strait of Hormuz is closed, and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard will strike any vessel attempting to pass through. Iran will not allow oil to leave the region." Later, the U.S. Central Command stated that the Strait of Hormuz is not closed, and there is currently no sign of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard laying mines in the strait.

On Polymarket, in the comments section of this market, the position of YES holders is "Although the Strait of Hormuz may not be substantially closed, as long as an official Iranian source announces the closure, it would satisfy the second condition in the additional rule."

Account: 0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23

Position: $249k
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