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The likelihood of a U.S. strike against Iran today has rapidly surged to 69%.

2026-02-28 06:27

According to PolyBeats monitoring, the probability of the U.S. striking Iran today on the prediction market Polymarket has rapidly increased from 19% to 69%, with the probability of striking Iran by March 31 rising to 91%.

The Israeli Defense Minister has just stated that Israel has launched a preemptive strike against Iran. Air raid sirens are sounding in Tel Aviv, and an explosion has been reported in the Iranian capital, Tehran.

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Trump Confirms U.S. Strike on Iran, Related Prediction Markets Set to Settle

Iran is preparing for a "devastating" retaliation action

During Market Closure, On-Chain Precious Metals Surge Due to Safe-Haven Demand, Gold's Top Bull "Loracle" Sees Unrealized Gains of 27%

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