According to PolyBeats monitoring, two accounts have placed a total of $59.1k in bets on the Polymarket prediction market in the past day regarding "The US will strike Iran by February 28", with one being a new account making an opening bet of $10k and the other being a previously reported account adding an additional $33.2k.
The US and Iran concluded a new round of indirect nuclear talks in Geneva mediated by Oman, with both sides describing the discussions as "serious and constructive" but no agreement reached; talks will resume soon with technical discussions in Vienna. Despite the diplomatic window remaining open, key differences (nuclear activity limits and sanction issues) are yet unresolved. The US continues to escalate its military presence, including deploying refueling planes and an aircraft carrier strike group to Israel, maintaining a market risk premium.
Accounts:
0x1caa6a7ad0c6916aef7b67946de2e57ad24846a0
0x56efadc9defe5b7a21af751e0d026f2cf54136db
Total Opening: $59.1k
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