According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past six hours, an address that has made $10,000 in profit, with a 100% win rate in political prediction markets, has placed a $3,000 bet on the U.S. government shutdown lasting over seven days, with an opening price of 75¢ and a current price of 68¢.
The current U.S. government shutdown, triggered by a Department of Homeland Security funding dispute, may have started on February 14. The shutdown will end as soon as there is an agreement between the parties or a temporary funding bill is passed. The duration of the shutdown depends on the speed of compromise between Congress and the President, potentially being resolved in a few days (as past brief shutdowns have lasted 1–3 days) or extended for several days to weeks due to a deadlock.
Address: 0x30b7b487e35fb985427bfa2d85194207158de81c
Position: $3k
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