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After the US Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate release, the probability of a 25 basis points rate cut in March decreased to 6%.

2026-02-11 13:51

BlockBeats News, February 11th, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, after the release of US non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in March dropped to 6% (down from 21.7% before the announcement), while the probability of unchanged rates is 94%.


Previously reported, the US January seasonally adjusted non-farm employment increased by 130,000, well above the market's expected 70,000, marking the largest gain since Q4 2025. The US January unemployment rate was 4.3%, slightly lower than the expected 4.40% and the previous value of 4.40%.

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