Federal Reserve Chair Nomination Process Disrupted, Multiple Outlier Addresses Betting on Judy Shelton Eventually Nominated

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction market, the probability of Kevin Warsh being selected in the event "Who will Trump appoint as the next Fed Chair" surged to nearly 100% after Trump's post nominating him. The White House also released content related to "Trump nominating Warsh," and the community submitted multiple Yes claims, but they were ultimately rejected due to the lack of formal congressional documents to prove Warsh's appointment.

On January 30, after Judy Shelton posted a screenshot of the event, a new address began making large bets on Judy Shelton being selected as Fed Chair. The probability of her selection increased from 0.1% at the time of the post to 4% at the time of this post. Among the top 50 addresses holding positions in this market, 42 accounts have bets exceeding ten times their median opening positions, with 17 holding no other positions, totaling $113,000 in open positions. The remaining 8 accounts, of which 5 do not show abnormal opening behavior, have additional equally sized positions betting against Warsh being selected as Fed Chair, with a total of $58,000 in open positions.

Accounts:
0xa229ff58bdf32a763d5fc3b2a6323dd73b51cbf1
0x47b5d2d7eff10aecabc749ed41ccff97e9c9a045
0x6be8864913b5be44611706abc696cad0814808e4
0x0b03ea04dbc340f9c76ab8874c0121a45352787d

Total Opening: Over $200k
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