An account with only 1 historical transaction invested $56,000 to predict "US to Strike Iran Today."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, in the last 12 hours, an address with only 1 historical transaction placed a $56k USD bet at a 2c average price that the U.S. will strike Iran before February 9th. Currently, the probability of "Yes" for this event is 3%.

The address's only historical transaction was a bet that Trump would not win the 2024 presidential election, resulting in a total loss of $75k USD. What's most unusual is that after this loss, the account balance remained over $400k USD without withdrawal until today's new bet.

On February 7th, the Iranian Foreign Minister publicly warned: "If the U.S. attacks Iran, we will strike all U.S. bases in the Middle East, which will become legitimate targets."

On February 8th, the Iranian Foreign Minister stated in an interview that Iran is "prepared to negotiate seriously to reach a fair agreement," willing to discuss limits on the nuclear program but refusing to stop uranium enrichment completely. He emphasized that "negotiation is impossible under military threat." Reports suggest that Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will meet in Washington on February 11th to discuss the Iranian nuclear program and potential joint actions.

Address: 0xb500375afa738dc548b850669096c5eb56a8719a

Position Size: $56k
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