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The current Fed rate cut probability for March is 12%, and the probability of rate hold until April is 75.2%.

2026-02-05 11:25

BlockBeats News, February 5th, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, before the release of the US Initial Jobless Claims tonight (21:30 UTC+8), the probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in March is 12%, and the probability of unchanged rates is 88%.


The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until April is 75.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 23%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.7%.


The dates of the next two FOMC meetings are March 18 and April 29.

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