According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past twelve hours, a previously reported better1000 account increased its position by $34.2k USD to bet that the US will strike Iran before February 28 and March 31; another suspicious address placed a $12.3k USD bet that the US will strike Iran before June 30, with the address having five remaining predictions all indicating a US strike on Iran.
On February 3, a small fleet of Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps fast attack boats in the Strait of Hormuz attempted to intercept and board a US-flagged oil tanker, Stena Imperative, but the tanker ignored the request and continued its course, later escorted by a US warship, thwarting the interception attempt.
On February 4, a US Navy F-35C fighter jet near the Arabian Sea shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone for its proximity to the US flagship aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, with the US describing the drone as "hostile."
Accounts:
0x29d337076f24d135b7b2b08796edfff4e32cb2ed
0xe13dabe73fbda02a0c7199e2f4a096aa8562441b
Total Position: $128k
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