BlockBeats News, January 31st, Coinbase Institutional posted on social media stating that the debate on whether a gold price surge will ultimately benefit BTC has been reignited. Our research team conducted an in-depth analysis and found that this assumption may not hold water. Key insights include:
· No Clear Correlation: Historical data shows that there is no consistent statistical relationship between gold's rise and Bitcoin's subsequent performance. At most, there is only occasional correlation, and the differences are significant across different time frames.
· Different Market Roles: Gold typically benefits from a risk-off environment, while Bitcoin tends to perform better during periods of risk-on sentiment. These fundamentally different dynamics mean that the two asset classes often operate independently.
· Misplaced Causality: The assertion that "Gold's strength will drive Bitcoin higher" is based on an unproven assumption, lacking empirical support and a clear causal lag relationship.
The research team stated that although gold and Bitcoin may occasionally move in the same direction, there is no reliable pattern indicating that a gold surge will inevitably lead Bitcoin to success. Investors should be cautious of this narrative.
