According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, three new accounts placed a total of $23.6k in bets within the past day on the United States or Israel launching an attack on Iran before 1.26-1.31, with $10k bet on the U.S. attacking Iran before 1.26. Currently, the probability of the U.S. attacking Iran before 1.26 is 11%, and the probability of the U.S. attacking Iran before 1.31 is 26%.
Over the past day, the U.S.-Iran tension has continued to escalate, with Iranian senior officials publicly warning that any U.S. military attack would be considered a "full-scale war" and met with a strong response; the U.S. President stated that a fleet consisting of an "aircraft carrier and destroyers" is heading to the Middle East to monitor the Iran situation and announced sanctions, asset freezes, and trading bans on 9 vessels and entities related to Iranian oil trading.
Accounts:
0xc37c6c989bc5d86b3eb6095020899fedd585cd7e
0x10b228189907b678fecf998f87237a6d69ddcc72
0x7f5d096244365ebf7dd351a5fc002e7a7fcf78fb
Total Bet: $23.6k
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