According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past twelve hours, a new address has bet an average of 74¢, totaling $150.5k, that Ayatollah Khamenei will not step down as Supreme Leader before January 31st. Currently, the probability of Yes outcome stands at 21%.
There have been no significant developments indicating Khamenei's impeachment or resignation. In the past week, he has made strongly worded statements condemning Israel; meanwhile, regional tensions continue to escalate, involving Iranian missile actions and proxy conflicts in Lebanon and Yemen. Analysts point out that despite domestic protests and economic challenges, the regime remains stable overall; while succession plans are being internally discussed, there are no immediate signs of a resignation.
Address: 0x379ed47393b595bf9e0d6a013cc73537e93f6893
Opening Position: $150.5k
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