New Account Wager on Israeli Strike on Lebanon Today

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has continuously market- bought over the past 14 hours betting that Israel will strike Lebanon on January 9. The odds for this outcome have increased from 31% at the time of purchase to a peak of 78%, currently sitting at 64%.

In this market, there is a high-win-rate trader who has bet "no" with 20 historical positions since November last year, all focusing on the strike date, with an 85% win rate and total profits exceeding $10,000.

Trader's account: 0x9eb1f9602242b2218f55275fbab16e7eb239fc21

However, following the entry of the aforementioned new account into this market for betting, this high-win-rate trader has been progressively realizing losses by selling off their "no" positions over the past 10 hours, with current unrealized losses exceeding $6,000.

Israel has carried out multiple airstrikes against Hezbollah and Hamas targets in recent days, settling as "yes" on Polymarket for the 2nd to the 8th of this month.

Account: 0x1998e5baac96c7443c9f53da52619d395c9216ef

Total Position: $4k
---------------------------------
Get a glimpse of the future, follow @PolyBeats_Bot
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN