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Multiple Suspicious Accounts Bet on Gemini 3 Setting a Record in AI Benchmark

2026-01-08 09:02

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, there are currently three suspicious accounts betting on Gemini 3 to score over 50% in FrontierMath. The current probability of this outcome is 37%.

FrontierMath is an AI model benchmark evaluation, with GPT-5.2 currently scoring the highest (40.3%), while Gemini 3 Pro Preview is at 37.6%. Due to the high benchmark difficulty and the cumbersome testing process, the majority of the market believes that this event will not occur before the market deadline (2026.1.31).

It is worth noting that this market probability was only 7% two days ago, and one of the reasons for the probability increase is the widely circulated position of the suspicious account beepboopzyx in this market. His only 10 historical trades are all Google-related, with a total profit of nearly $40,000, including 2 trades with a return rate of over ten times.

Accounts (first one is beepboopzyx):
0x59d59ae47618f3b340482d175dfc8cf13b2ba273
0x8c0eee609bea22ed5558c897f6f618e56c3c0c15
0x1bede7f78ec054d6a6e533e4c54641adbf316afa

Total Staked: $5.2k
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