According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a suspicious new address bet that "Tesla will not release unsupervised FSD by 2026.6.30" 1h ago, causing the likelihood of Tesla releasing unsupervised FSD by mid-2026 to drop by 15% in 12h, now standing at 49%.
At CES 2026, multiple automotive companies and autonomous driving firms intensively unveiled L4/supervised solutions, indicating accelerated competition. Due to FSD still not being approved for "unsupervised" mode and the previously delayed timeline, this has somewhat impacted the short-term possibility of releasing unsupervised FSD.
Address: 0xab596a4f2aaf7169aafdd7c0d29adcfe53708db3
Position: $2.6k
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