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Multiple Suspected Insider Whales Betting Lighter FDV Won't Fall Below $1 Billion

2025-12-30 06:51

According to PolyBeats monitoring, Lighter has officially announced its airdrop on the 29th in US Eastern Time. Yesterday, while most of the market was questioning whether it would launch its token by the end of the year, several suspicious accounts have started to directly bet on its fully diluted valuation (FDV) post-launch. Currently, the FDV based on the Hyperliquid LIT price is $2.8B.

In the market proposition "Lighter FDV exceeds $1B one day after token launch," there are currently 4 Yes holders showing similar characteristics: they hold positions only in this market proposition and their total position size exceeds three hundred thousand dollars. Even when the probability of yesterday's "year-end airdrop" dropped to less than 60% at one point, these accounts still firmly believe that the Lighter token will airdrop within 2 days and commence trading, with an FDV> $1B (which corresponds to a token price of not less than $1).

4 Account Addresses:

$853.4k
0x9fefb57d21e15950df03246cde50ddbc521b361b

$545.9k
0x0c0df2184722450cc75654eadea16421ce724dd3

$340.6k
0xd8cb88719dc15c284a56139077ad94dc73d0fa31

$385.7k
0xbbf32e0e8e69209ce7b0b1452e759a057bb65ebb

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