Pentagon's "Pizza Index" Relaunched, Suspected Insider Trading on US-Venezuela Conflict-Related Predictions
BlockBeats News, December 9th, according to PolyBeats monitoring, the assumption of the Pentagon Pizza Index, which is considered a "barometer" of U.S. military operations, is that when the Pentagon's high-level command center or war room is dealing with a major, unexpected international crisis or military deployment, staff need to work long hours. When staff work late into the night, they usually solve dinner by ordering a large amount of pizza.
Since the evening of December 6th, the index has been activated again, lasting for several hours. However, the probability of predicting "December 12th/31st Drug Ship Strike?" has not shown significant changes, and no suspected insider traders have been found to enter. But the trends of other related predictions seem to be suspicious. In the market "Will the U.S. have military contact with Venezuela before December 31st?", two extremely suspicious portrait traders are making aggressive centralized bets in the market.
The first is methebestss: he topped up $6,000 to his account in the past 12 hours and used it as the first and only transaction on the platform to buy 20,389 "Yes" shares at an average price of 30¢.
The second is smaugvision, whose operation is even more aggressive. 19 hours ago, he topped up over $40,000 and simultaneously bought "Yes" shares for the December 9th, 15th, and 31st three time points, with a total position of over $20,000. In addition, he also invested over $8,000 in two other related predictions: "Will the U.S. military enter Venezuela before December 31st?" and "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela before December 31st?"
These two traders both used official currency top-ups that do not match the habits of on-chain traders and put the vast majority of their funds into military predictions related to Venezuela. Their trading behavior is highly concentrated and their targets are clear. Currently, the probabilities of the above predictions are all below 30%.
