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Analysis: The increase in XRP and DOGE contract holdings but dwindling price momentum may indicate that the market's preference for volatility and downside risk is growing

2025-05-14 20:39

BlockBeats News, May 14th, despite the sluggish spot price, speculative positions in the XRP and Dogecoin (DOGE) futures markets continue to accumulate, indicating a growing market preference for volatility and downside risk. The data shows:


· DOGE Futures: The open interest in futures contracts surged by 63.9% within a week (from 9.89 billion to 16.2 billion USD), while the spot price rose by 40% to $0.23 during the same period;
· XRP Futures: The open interest in contracts grew by 41.6% during the same period (with an increase of over 1 billion USD), with a relatively moderate spot price increase (from 2.14 to 2.6 USD).


On-chain analytics company Glassnode stated that the divergence between price momentum decay and the spike in open interest implies that speculative positions continue to accumulate, a situation that warrants caution. Open interest (OI) serves as a barometer of speculative activity, and when it diverges from a stagnant price, it often indicates that leverage growth has outpaced actual confidence—this pattern has led to flash crashes multiple times in the past.

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