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Bernstein: Strategy's BTC Holdings Expected to Double in the Future, Price Target $600

BlockBeats News, March 26th, after analysts at the research and brokerage firm Bernstein updated their stock price model for Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) following the fourth-quarter financial performance and the latest BTC acquisition news, they reasserted their Outperform rating and set a target price of $600—up 75%.


According to Bernstein's bull case scenario, Strategy's Bitcoin holdings would more than double to around 5.8% of the current 19.8 million BTC circulating supply, up from the current approximately 2.5%. This assumes that Strategy can significantly expand its Bitcoin acquisition plan, along with a more accommodative capital market, lower interest rates, and a continuing bull market cycle. Analysts stated that in this scenario, Strategy's debt (including preferred shares) would rapidly increase from the current $11 billion to around $100 billion, with its equity value reaching approximately $840 billion.


The analysts project that Bitcoin will reach a peak of around $200,000 by the end of 2025, $500,000 by the end of 2029, $1 million by the end of 2033, with intermittent one-year bear markets during this period.

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Strategy currently holds 641,692 BTC and the mNav is currently reported as 0.979. There is currently no plan to stop accumulating.
Strategy is shifting from relying on common stock issuance to using preferred stock as the primary funding mechanism for Bitcoin purchases.
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