Viewpoint: Bitcoin's current stability is temporary, preparing for a significant price fluctuation

BlockBeats News, March 18th, according to a research report from Derive, a decentralized on-chain options platform, the calmness in the Bitcoin market recovery may be short-lived and could set the stage for a storm that triggers a significant price swing.

Since March 12th, BTC has held steady in the $80,000 to $85,000 range, a consolidation phase that typically occurs after a significant directional move. Due to various factors, including President Donald Trump's tariffs and disappointment over the lack of new purchases for a strategic BTC reserve by the United States, the price plummeted from above $100,000 to below $80,000 in the past few weeks.

With the recent consolidation, key volatility indicators have dropped, nearing monthly lows. However, volatility exhibits mean-reverting behavior, indicating that the low volatility regime may soon pave the way for price turbulence.

Derive suggests that several factors could trigger volatility, including "a Ukraine ceasefire (or lack thereof), or a significant shift in the Trump administration's crypto regulatory stance," among others. (CoinDesk)