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Greeks.live researcher: Currently, the probability of the first interest rate cut in May is the highest, and the market still tends to sell call options.

BlockBeats news on February 1st, Greek.live researcher Adam posted on social media that there will be no unexpected interest rate hike, but the hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve still put pressure on US stocks. Currently, the probability of the first rate cut in May is the highest, and the market will still endure high interest rates for more than three months. The market is too optimistic about liquidity. In terms of cryptocurrency option data, with the successful landing of the interest rate resolution, the IV of various major short-term options has shown a slight rebound. It can be anticipated that the IV of date options this weekend will be lower than 30%. The market is relatively weak, although the current IV is low, the market still tends to continue to sell call options.

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